Da Vinha and Ernst publish paper on presidential incumbency

Luis da Vinha, associate professor of geography and political science, and Niklas Ernst, 2018 VCSU graduate and SOAR research grant recipient during his undergraduate career, co-authored an article titled “The Unfinished Presidencies: Why Incumbent Presidents May Lose Their Re-Election Bids” in the June 2018 edition of “Perspectivas: The Portuguese Journal of Political Science and International Relations” from the Centre for Research in Political Science at the University of Minho and University of Evora.

The paper is the result of the extensive research carried out by the authors in their collaboration in a SOAR project awarded in 2017.

The presidency offers incumbents several inherent electoral advantages, e.g., party nomination and unified party base, name recognition and political experience, access to government resources. However, some incumbent candidates have been unable to capitalize on these advantages. The article analyzes the electoral bids of Presidents Ford, Carter, and Bush, identifying the factors that can invalidate the advantages intrinsic to holding the Office of President of the United States.

The article can be found online at www.perspectivasjournal.com/index.php?journal=perspectivas&page=issue&op=view&path%5B%5D=27&path%5B%5D=showToc.